“Testing The Waters” Has Gone Too Far

By Kevin Sweeney

Scroll through the Twitter feeds of any national college basketball media source, and you’ll see tweet after tweet of players declaring for the NBA Draft. Most of those will come with the caveat that the player won’t sign with an agent.

As of 3pm today, there were 140 players who had entered the draft, with 80 not having hired an agent (those numbers are per NBADraft.net). Some of the names on that list, like Marvin Bagley, Trae Young, and DeAndre Ayton, are recognizable to even the most common of college basketball fan: collegiate superstars at big-time programs who were long expected to be NBA lottery picks. Others, however, are much less well-known.

How much Matt Morgan tape did you watch this season? What about Fred Sims or Takal Molson? Did you scout Tramaine Isabell or Elijah Minnie?

These are 5 excellent college basketball players. Isabell (Drexel), and Morgan (Cornell) all averaged more than 20 points per game for their respective teams, while Molson won Freshman of the Year in the MAAC and Minnie was 3rd-team all-conference in the MAC this season. They will all make money playing professional basketball, and if they are lucky, a lot of it.

Their chances of being drafted by an NBA team this year? About the same as my odds of winning the lottery.

The rule change in 2016 to allow players to work out with NBA teams and get better feedback about their draft prospects was almost universally well-regarded. Players get more flexibility and feedback during a process that is cloudy at best. Colleges get to keep players who may have otherwise made ill-advised decisions. And NBA teams get to evaluate more players for both the current draft but potentially for future ones as well.

Yet in just 3 draft classes, things have gotten out of hand. The punchline “you might as well tweet out the list of players that AREN’T declaring for the draft” gets thrown around a lot.

To be clear, I’m not advocating revoking the rule. This freedom is without a doubt a good thing and an improvement from the previous system.

What I’m advocating for is an even more wide-open system: one in which every player who is draft-eligible may be contacted by college and professional scouts, coaches, and front office personnel? Remember John Calipari’s publicity stunt in the first year of the current system of having every single player (including walk-ons) enter the draft without an agent? Well, just like that.

Take our earlier example. Molson is just a freshman and far from a professional basketball player at this point. I’d bet anything he’s on a collegiate roster next season, whether that be at Canisius or at a different school. With the current rules in place, Molson is using one of his two opportunities to “test the waters” before being forced to leave school on his 3rd time declaring for the draft. Why not simply allow him to reach out to NBA teams and other pro clubs (let’s be honest, the odds of a 6-5 shooting guard from the MAAC making an NBA roster are slim to non) and hear what he needs to work on each year. If teams want to work him out, go ahead and work out. If teams want to guarantee they will draft him or sign him if he goes pro, let them do that. Give the players all the freedom in the world, without all the media attention that really tells us nothing.

The benefit of the current system is that it gets players’ names out there via the national media. The thought process is that if nothing else, just being on the list might get a few extra NBA eyes. While this line of thinking is valid, the vast majority of college coaches (even at low-major schools) have contacts in the NBA world, and would have no issue helping players connect with teams and get their names out there. AAU and high school coaches also may have useful contacts at their disposal. Besides, NBA scouts are a presence at high school and AAU events and do extensive college scouting, having info on all the players that are even conceivably draft material. Of course, the NCAA could also just allow players to have agents while still in college, but we all know that’s unlikely.

Let’s just simplify the process. Let every player get contacted by pro teams. 10 days after the NBA Draft Combine, players would have to either sign with an agent or officially return to school.

If the NCAA is dead set against letting any agent interaction into the college game, at least cut out the completely unnecessary middle step in the NBA Draft process.

 

Column: Just Pay Your Coaches if You Don’t Want Them Anymore

By Kevin Sweeney

Last night’s big story in college basketball came out of Loudonville, NY, when reports of verbal abuse against embattled Siena head coach Jimmy Patsos surfaced. Among the allegations are Patsos calling a student manager with OCD “the next Unabomber”, along with kicking managers off the team bus and making them walk to a game.

This allegations… suck. They suck bad. As someone who grew up a fan and season ticket holder for Siena basketball, my heart dropped when I read these allegations. There’s simply no place in college basketball for this type of stuff.

All that said, there’s a reason this came out now, and it’s the latest example of a growing trend in college basketball that no one should like.

When things go south on the court, athletic directors and other administrators begin looking for dirt.

We saw this earlier this offseason with both UConn and Pitt firing their coaches for cause (Stallings later accepted a settlement). Before that, Larry Eustachy’s name was ramrodded in the media for verbally abusing players before he took a settlement (about 25% of his buyout). The timing of all 3 (and the seemingly impending 4th) line up with when a team’s on-court performance went downhill.

Eustachy, coming off winning Coach of the Year in the Mountain West and a 24-win campaign, got off to a slow start this season. Most believed he wasn’t the guy at Colorado State long-term, but a $3 million buyout stood in the way. In February, verbal abuse allegations surfaced, and Eustachy was placed on administrative leave and eventually resigned with a settlement of $750,000.

With Patsos, it’s hard not to see the connection between when this comes out and Siena’s recent struggles. After an underwhelming 17-17 mark in 2016-17, the Saints fell flat on their face with an 8-24 mark in 2017-18. Fans of the program were ready for a change, but a hefty buyout reportedly between $750k and $1.2 million stood in the way, especially for a school in not the best shape financially.

And now, a month after the season ended and days after rumors around the college basketball landscape of Pat Beilein being next in line at Siena began to surface, this report is released. Something smell fishy to you?

Siena and everyone who knows college basketball knew who they were hiring when they did this search. After all, they played against him for several years. Patsos is certainly old-school, a guy who was known to yell at kids. In short, if Siena was worried about a guy who would yell and scream at players because he might cross a line, Patsos was never the right candidate for the job. That’s not to say he wasn’t hireable, as he had done admirably at Loyola (MD) and is also known for the most part as a good guy who was well-liked by his players. But Siena clearly had no problem with taking on a guy who they knew would bring some antics along with him.

Yet now, when the school desperately wants out of a contract that they extended twice in Patsos’ first 3 seasons, this info leaks?

Siena made its own bed with this contract, as did UConn, Pitt, and Colorado State before them with big buyouts they couldn’t afford. If you didn’t want him there any more, pay him his buyout and go get Pat Beilein or whoever else you choose to hire. Don’t spend a month bargaining with him while you gather evidence of something that had been going on far before this season, then destroy his reputation and make him virtually unemployable by any Division 1 program.

Ask yourself this: would this story be out there if Siena went 24-8 this season? Or would there have been a quiet, behind-the-scenes reprimand, maybe a fine, and a story kept out of the spotlight?

Siena is better than this, and college basketball is better than this. In all 4 circumstances, the only cause these coaches are being fired for is not winning enough games.

Sean Bock’s Way-Too-Early Top 25

By Sean Bock

I realize we just wrapped up this year’s college basketball season, but why not start looking ahead a few months down the road to next year?

I’m going to give you guys my preseason top 25 based on what next year’s rosters look like if the season started today. So, take into account there will be some transfers, players keeping their names in the NBA Draft, and a handful of highly-regarded recruits who are still in the decision making process.

I know I’m going to be flat out wrong by the time the AP preseason poll comes out next October, but let’s just go ahead and run with it.

1. Duke

This is a no-brainer. The incoming recruiting class is the first in history to have the top three recruits (R.J. Barrett, Zion Williamson, Cam Reddish) since the class rankings were established in college basketball a few years back. Marvin Bagley Jr. is a tough loss from a talent and productivity standpoint along with Grayson Allen, the most experienced player from this year’s bunch, but there’s plenty of talent coming back to put Duke into the national title conversation right away. While Barrett, Williamson, and Reddish headline this group, arguably the most critical player for the Blue Devils next year will be freshman point guard Tre Jones, the No. 9 player in the class and younger brother of former Duke PG Tyus Jones. Trevon Duval handled the point guard position well for a freshman, but Jones takes the mantra of “true point guard” to a whole other level as he does just about everything well on the floor. If this team can stay healthy, there’s no doubt and my mind they can make a run at the title.

2. Kansas

If Bill Self can make a Final Four run with this year’s team, it’s national championship or bust next year. The losses of Devonte’ Graham and Svi Mykhailiuk are significant, but the Jayhawks had three transfers on the bench this year who were the top players for their previous respective high-major rosters. Brothers Dedric Lawson and K.J. Lawson (Memphis) and guard Charlie Moore (Cal) practiced all year against a club who won its 14th straight Big 12 Championship and made it all the way to San Antonio. All three averaged 12 points or more in their seasons before making their way to Lawrence. Udoka Azubuike, who has NBA potential written all over him, will be a force after another offseason of workouts and will continue to be a problem down low if he can stay healthy. Also, the Jayhawks bring in a top-five recruiting class with three McDonald’s All-Americans: five-star guards Quentin Grimes and Devon Dotson and four-star big man David McCormack. Another possible prospect to add to the fold is five-star recruit Romeo Langford, who is deciding between Indiana, Vanderbilt, and Kansas.

3. Kentucky

John Calipari had his youngest team ever this year, and his team will be pretty young in 2018-’19, but a lot of talent will be coming back. Plus, a pretty solid recruiting class is also making its way to Lexington. If I had to guess, Hamidou Diallo, Kevin Knox, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will be on their way to making a good amount of money in the NBA after one season in school. That said, Jarred Vanderbilt, PJ Washington, Wenyen Gabriel, Nick Richards, and Sacha Killeya-Jones will come back for another crack at the title, and the Wildcats will possess one of the most intimidating frontcourts in the nation. Quade Green will be handed the point guard duties unless Ashton Hagans, the top-ranked point guard in the 2019 class, reclassifies to 2018 and takes his talents to Lexington, which seems like a strong possibility at this point. The newcomers are McDonald’s All-Americans Keldon Johnson, a 6-foot-6 combo guard who is considered the best all-around player in the 2018 class, and Immanuel Quickley, another combo guard who could play a role similar to Devin Booker. Tyler Herro, a four-star shooting guard who was committed to Wisconsin at one point, is one of the best pure scorers in the 2018 class and will provide a much-needed outside shooting boost along with sophomore Jemarl Baker, who sat out this season recovering from knee surgery.

4. Villanova

Fresh off its second national title in three years, Villanova is in prime position to go back-to-back, the first since Florida in 2006 and 2007. Even with Mikal Bridges and Jalen Brunson likely declaring for the NBA Draft, the Wildcats bring back plenty of firepower and have one of the best coaches in the game in Jay Wright. Omari Spellman will likely be back along with Donte DiVincenzo, who is poised to have a breakout junior year. Eric Paschall, Phil Booth, and Collin Gillespie will have a year under their belts and will play larger roles this time around. To replace Brunson, Wright brings in internet sensation and five-star point guard Jahvon Quinerly along with sharpshooting stretch four Cole Swider. Brandon Slater is the lowest ranked of the three freshmen but is the type of wing player that fits in nicely to Wright’s system.

5. Gonzaga

Mark Few has had some of his best teams at Gonzaga the past two years and was only a couple of buckets away from hanging a national championship banner in 2016. One of the best long-term prospects to come through the program, Rui Hachimura has improved year by year and has all the pieces around him to be dominant. Josh Perkins and Zach Norvell are the perfect couple in the backcourt and can hurt you in a multitude of ways. Corey Kispert chipped in quality minutes as a freshman and will only improve with consistent playing time. Forward Brandon Clarke, who sat out this season after averaging 17.3 points and 8.7 rebounds at San Jose State, is a beast in the frontcourt and fits into the system perfectly. To round out the frontcourt, freshman big man Filip Petrusev was a force this year for the Geico National Champs Montverde Academy (FL) and will only get better once he gets accustomed to the college game.

6. North Carolina

The Tar Heels lose the veteran leadership of Joel Berry and Theo Pinson, but Roy Williams has one of his best-recruiting classes in recent memory. Burger Boys Nassir Little and Coby White will make an impact from day one, and Rechon “Leaky” Black will play a limited but vital role. Luke Maye will look to build on his 16.9 points and 10.1 rebounds he averaged this season. Kenny Williams and Cam Johnson are reliable threats from deep and will space the floor. Size will be an issue, but there are six or seven guys who can score 15+ points on any given night.

7. Auburn

Auburn was the surprise team this year winning the SEC regular-season crown after being projected by many experts to end up in the back half of the league. The Tigers welcome back nearly everyone from that team and bring in three uber-talented players who were unable to suit up last season. Austin Wiley – a former five-star recruit – started 22 games as a freshman and posted solid numbers, but could not play this season due to a connection in the FBI investigation. Danjel Purifoy missed games as well for his involvement in the ongoing scandal. The most promising addition on the roster is VCU transfer Samir Doughty, who scored 9 points as a freshman. Bryce Brown, Mustapha Heron, and Jared Harper, All-SEC type guards, round out the backcourt for Bruce Pearl and are poised for another big year. Chuma Okeke, Anfernee McLemore, and Horace Spencer did an excellent job of manning the paint area this year and will only be more intimidating with the addition of Wiley, Purifoy, and Doughty.

8. Michigan State

The Spartans will miss the services of Miles Bridges and Jaren Jackson Jr. – two projected lottery picks – but there’s plenty of balance on this Michigan State team for a possible Big Ten title. Cassius Winston will have even more weight on his shoulders now that it’s his team and he’ll do much of the heavy lifting from the point guard position. Josh Langford showed flashes of greatness during his sophomore season, and Nick Ward will benefit immensely after an offseason of workouts and testing the NBA Draft waters. Sparty’s recruiting class is not the most eye-opening, but it consists of guys who likely won’t be one or two year players and are in it for the long haul. It’ll be a difficult beginning without two All-Big Ten level players, but Tom Izzo will find a way to mold his team into contenders.

9. Nevada

The Wolfpack found themselves in the Sweet 16 this year and were one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country. With Caleb and Cody Martin’s future still in question, it’s a bit of a stretch to put Nevada in the top-10, but Eric Musselman’s use of the transfer market will pay off once again. Nisre Zouzoua (Bryant), Jazz Johnson (Portland), Tre’Shawn Thurman (Omaha), Corey Henson (Wagner) all were double-figure scorers at their previous schools and will play a big part from day one. Jordan Caroline, Lindsey Drew, and Josh Hall also return to round out a veteran-laden group that has a real chance to be the best mid-major squad in the country when it’s all said and done.

10. Tennessee

Like Auburn, the Volunteers weren’t expected to do anything in the SEC this year. Instead, Rick Barnes’ group shared the conference title with Auburn and return a good chunk of primary role players from 2017-’18 including SEC Player of the Year, Grant Williams. Admiral Schofield has a chance to be a special player after averaging 13.9 points and 6.4 rebounds his junior season. Jordan Bowden, Jordan Bone, and Kyle Alexander will likely round out the starting lineup and were steady contributors this year when the season starts up in November. Yves Pons, a sophomore from France, will be a name to watch as he’s a raw prospect but is one of the top athletes in the country according to many experts.

11. Louisville

In what was considered a wasted year with the sudden firing of Rick Pitino three weeks before the season and the hiring of assistant David Padgett, things seem to be looking upward for Cardinal fans with the addition of head coach Chris Mack. Ray Spalding will enter the NBA Draft and hire an agent while Deng Adel is testing the waters. V.J. King and Darius Perry are solid perimeter scorers who will get a lot of run. The loss of Anas Mahmoud down low stings, but former top-25 recruit and sophomore Malik Williams will take over the reigns and can become a more potent offensive threat than Mahmoud was. Steven Enoch, a UConn transfer, will provide a defensive boost in Mahmoud’s absence, which will make up for Williams’ lack of defensive talent. Louisville got its guy in Mack, and he has a lot of toys to play around with in his first season at the program.

12. Virginia Tech

Buzz Williams is going into year five at Virginia Tech and has maybe his most complete roster during his time in Blacksburg. The Hokies were a No. 8 seed in this year’s tournament but haven’t been labeled a ‘contender’ in the ACC because of the dominance of Duke, North Carolina, Virginia, etc. A player who I think has all-conference potential is sophomore guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker, who could become the man for this team. Justin Robinson returns to handle the point guard duties and Ahmed Hill is about as good as it gets from 3-point land. Chris Clarke can do just about anything you ask him to do and will play big minutes this year. Four-star shooting guard Landers Nolley is another deadly weapon from distance and has a ton of upside offensively. P.J. Horne and Wabissa Bede will see increased roles and consistent minutes in their sophomore season.

13. Virginia

Yes, Virginia will always be remembered as the first No. 1 seed to fall to a No. 16 seed in the NCAA Tournament (S/O UMBC). But, Tony Bennett and company are ready to move on and should once again compete for an ACC title. Devon Hall, Isaiah Wilkins, Nigel Johnson are all leaving Charlottesville, but there are plenty of returners who can take this team a long way, including America’s favorite backcourt duo in Ty Jerome and Kyle Guy. A big question will be if De’Andre Hunter, the conference 6th man of the year who notoriously injured his wrist days before the NCAA Tournament, will come back for another go-around. Mamadi Diakite, Jack Salt, and Jay Huff will be responsible for manning the middle. Once again, Virginia will be a slow-paced team who relies on its defense a little too much. But, the Cavaliers have the personnel to make some noise, not necessarily a fabulous season like this one, but one where they are in the running for a conference championship and a top three seed in the NCAA Tournament.

14. West Virginia

Huggy Bear loses his favorite toy in Jevon Carter, who had one of the most illustrious careers in West Virginia history. Daxter Miles Jr. is another significant loss, but Bob Huggins is ready for the next challenge and the Mountaineers will be another tough team to beat this year. Sagaba Konate, America’s favorite shot blocker, Wesley Harris, and Lamont West are all 6-foot-8 forwards who are gracious rim protectors and can move very well for their size which causes a lot of issues for Press Virginia’s opponents. Esa Ahmad should be eligible for the whole season after being suspended for the first half of 2017-’18. He won’t make the same impact right away as Carter, but a kid I’m ecstatic to watch is four-star point guard Jordan McCabe. Known for his majestic ball-handling skills as a youngster, McCabe is one of the sleepers and the hardest working players in the 2018 class and is a superb do it all point guard who will do whatever it takes right away to crack the starting rotation. This kid will be special.

15. Kansas State

Bruce Weber has nobody leaving after his team made a surprising Elite Eight run and it’s insane to think a Weber coached team could compete at the top of the Big-12 with Kansas. Barry Brown and Dean Wade, the conference’s second and third-leading returning scorers, will form one of the highest-scoring duos in the country and give opponents nightmares. Xavier Sneed and Kamau Stokes are other guys who had solid seasons and will be a key part of next year’s roster. Cartier Diarra and Mike McGuirl are athletic specimens in the paint. Weber has a VERY real shot at making it back to the Regional Final.

16. Maryland

The ‘Terps had their worst year since joining the Big Ten and the losses of Justin Jackson and Dion Wiley don’t bode well for Mark Turgeon and company. But, Kevin Huerter is a special four-year player along with Bruno Fernando, who quietly was one of the best freshmen in America this season. Anthony Cowan could be considered one of the top point guards in the Big Ten next year and could see time alongside Darryl Morsell, who played the third most minutes on the team as a freshman. What Maryland fans should be excited about is the incoming recruiting class. McDonald’s All-American forward Jalen Smith is a 6-foot-9 athletic and versatile prospect who can replace Jackson. Aaron Wiggins is a guy who can provide an offensive boost of the bench whether it be knocking shots down from the perimeter or taking his man off the bounce. Eric Ayala is a solid all-around combo guard who can go get a bucket or find his teammates for open looks. Turgeon’s seat is getting a little warmer in College Park and this team could save his spot on the throne, for now.

17. Oregon

This was a really disappointing year in Eugene following a Final Four run in 2017. Bol Bol and Louis King are the big names, and potential one-and-done’s in Dana Altman’s most talented recruiting class during his time at Oregon. Payton Pritchard will be running the show at the point but will have to fight for minutes against top-50 recruit Will Richardson, an athletic point guard out of Oak Hill (VA). Miles Norris, a lanky 6-foot-8 forward, is a potent scorer with a smooth jumper and solid face-up game. He’s a project for the coaching staff as he needs to add some muscle and improve his motor, so it’ll be interesting to see how he comes along. Bol and defensive-minded Kenny Wooten will be a tough combination to score against and will alter a lot of shots with their length and shot-blocking ability. While this team does look exceptional on paper, they’ll need to find ways to mesh with all the talent on the roster.

18. UCLA

The Bruins have an absolutely loaded roster, and expectations are high in Westwood which means it could be a make or break season for Steve Alford. Kris Wilkes is expected to return for his sophomore year and should be one of UCLA’s leading scorers. Former top-20 recruit Jaylen Hands will carry a much larger role at the point due to Aaron Holiday declaring for the NBA Draft. If Hands struggles, four-star point guard Tyger Campbell can step in and provide instant offense. Jalen Hill and Cody Riley, the two other Bruins who were suspended with LiAngelo Ball in the China Shoplifting incident, are ready to get back on the court and contribute. 7-foot sophomore Chris Smith had his moments in his first year but should get more consistent minutes his second year at the helm. Moses Brown and Shareef O’Neal, the two highest regarded members of the incoming class, are polished big men who can do a lot of damage. Other freshmen Jules Bernard and David Singleton can put the ball in the basket with the best of them. There’s no question Alford has a talented bunch at his disposal, but can he break through with them and keep his job?

19. LSU

The Tigers do lose a lot from this year’s team, Will Wade brings in an elite recruiting class which is rare for a football school like LSU. Naz Reid has NBA-ready talent and size for a big man, Emmitt Williams gets after it every possession and is just a tad less talent than Reid. and JaVonte Smart is a bulldog at the point and make a difference on both ends of the floor. Take into account Tremont Waters, who averaged 16 points and six assists as a freshman, also returns and is poised to have an even better sophomore campaign. Darius Days is another guy to be excited about at 6-foot-7 with a 7-foot wingspan and the ability to defend, rebound, and shoot the rock. He’s still developing, but he’ll only get better as the season progresses. If Will Wade’s team doesn’t find its way into the Big Dance, I’d be shocked.

20. Florida State

I’m still trying to wrap my head around how the Seminoles made the Elite Eight. Leonard Hamilton was expecting to get C.J. Walker back to run the point, but he will transfer and explore other options. Two names I’m keeping an eye on are sophomore M.J. Walker and Terence Mann. Walker, a former McDonald’s All-American, didn’t seem comfortable his first year in Tallahassee but another summer under his belt will do him good and have him prepared for Round 2. Mann, the team’s second-leading scorer this year, very well could be ACC Player of the Year he performs like he did at the beginning of the 2017 and various parts of conference play. Phil Cofer was the leading scorer this year for the Seminoles and is still waiting to hear back if he is granted a medical redshirt for 2018-’19. Mfiondu Kabengele is another name to watch as he started to find his grove toward the latter half of the season.

21. Michigan

There are still a lot of question marks concerning the national runner-ups. Mo Wagner’s stock is high as its ever been so he’s likely to leave and Charles Matthews also could enter his name in the draft although I think he should stay another year. With Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman, Zavier Simpson will be the go-to-guy at the point and play around 35 minutes per game. Jordan Poole will be an important piece as well. We all know he can shoot the three ball, but he’ll have to keep improving other facets of his game such as attacking off the dribble and defense. Jon Teske will offer size without Wagner, and Eli Brooks will give the Wolverines depth at the one. The 6-foot-8 freshman forward Ignas Bradzeikis is a knockdown shooter along with classmate and versatile forward Brandon Johns. Being a John Beilenber, I have faith he’ll figure something out whatever comes his way. It’ll be interesting to see how this team adjusts (likely) without Wagner.

22. TCU

Jamie Dixon has done a spectacular job at his alma mater and has all his puppies in order to make it to the Big Dance for the second straight year. Jaylen Fisher and Alex Robinson are an experienced backcourt and could be regarded to as one of the best in the country. Desmond Bane is one of the elite shooters in the country and will stretch the floor. I’m very fond of four-star small forward Kaden Archie. At 6-foot-6, Archie has all the physical tools to go head to head with the nation’s best and has one of the better all-around games in the incoming freshman class.

23. Purdue

The most decorated senior class in the Matt Painter era is over and done with, but there are still some leftovers. Carsen Edwards is already in the conversation for national player of the year after a breakout sophomore season. Matt Haarms will have to improve his offensive abilities a little more with the departure of Isaac Haas, but the addition of Dartmouth transfer Evan Boudreaux will take a little weight off his shoulders. The Boilermakers will compete at the top of the Big Ten, but in no way, shay perform am I expecting a season like this year. My main concern is the lack of production behind these Edwards, Haarms, and Bourdreaux.

24. Florida

Jalen Hudson is still deciding whether or not he will take his talents to the next level, so that is a big factor for where I placed the Gators. That said, I like the returning group of Jalen Hudson, Kevaughn Allen, Keith Stone, and Kevarrius Hayes, but I’m infatuated with Mike White’s incoming recruiting class. Andrew Nembhard will take over in Chiozza’s place, and Noah Locke is a smooth shooting guard who can shoot from just about anywhere. Keyontae Johnson is a physically gifted wing who can defend multiple positions at 6-foot-6.

25. Vanderbilt

I was feeling bold and needed another team to put in here, so I decided Vanderbilt would be my best bet. The Commodores will lose 1,000 point scorers Jeff Roberson and Riley LaChance, but there is plenty of talent coming in. Darius Garland, the top point guard in the 2018 class, and five-star power forward Simi Shittu were both McDonald’s All-Americans and will have the ball in their hands from day one. Aaron Nesmith is another freshman who can make an impact as he’s a pure scorer and is deadly from three-point land. While this group may already seem special, Romeo Langford has Vanderbilt in his top three with Indiana and Kansas. If Bryce Drew can sway Langford away from his hometown Hoosiers, a special season is on the horizon.

Photo: GoDuke.com

Kevin Sweeney’s Way-Too-Early Top 25

By Kevin Sweeney

The bad news: there aren’t any college basketball games until November.

The good news: you get to read my (and literally every other college basketball writer in the country) WAY-too-early top 25 for the 2018-19 season.

There’s certainly a lot of guess work involved in putting together a list like this, especially given the fact that most rosters aren’t close to finalized. NBA Draft decisions are likely to make the biggest impact, but there are also some high-level transfers and 2018 recruits that could make a big impact on the 2018-19 landscape.

That said, let’s have some fun and take a look at my earliest thoughts on the 2018-19 season.

#1. Kansas

Devonte’ Graham and Svi Mykhailiuk will both be gone for sure, but the Jayhawks bring in a TON of talent from both the transfer and prep markets. Dedric Lawson enters from Memphis as a legit Big 12 POY candidate, and his brother KJ (12 ppg, 8rpg) along with Cal transfer PG Charlie Moore (12.2 ppg, 3.5 apg) are no slouches either. Combine that incoming trio with elite recruits like Devon Dotson, Quentin Grimes, and David McCormack, and the Jayhawks will be elite once again. The draft decision to track is Malik Newman, who exploded onto the scene in March and is expected by most to at least test the waters. If he returns along with Udoka Azubuike and Lagerald Vick, Kansas will be the clear #1 going into next season.

#2. Villanova

I’m working on the assumption that Jalen Brunson and Mikal Bridges will go pro, but the rest of the team’s core will return. If so, I believe Villanova has as good a chance as any to repeat as national champions. The trio of Donte DiVincenzo, Omari Spellman, and Eric Paschall is as strong as any returning group in the country, and Jay Wright brings in an excellent recruiting class headlined by Brunson’s heir apparent in Jahvon Quinerly and a floor-spacing combo forward in Cole Swider. Jay Wright seemingly has mastered bringing the spacing and shooting concepts from the NBA to the college game, which also factors into my decision to keep the Wildcats this high despite losing two players the caliber of Bridges and Brunson.

#3. Virginia

The first ACC team off the board for me is Virginia, not the Duke team hyped up by everyone thanks to an off-the-charts recruiting class. For a regular season top 25, I’ll bet on the experienced club that was dominant this season. Kyle Guy, Ty Jerome, and DeAndre Hunter should return, as should several key role players from this year’s club, that was the #1 overall seed before a stunning upset at the hands of UMBC. I trust Tony Bennett’s system (at least in the regular season) and I trust these veterans to come back and work even harder than they did last season after a crushing end to the season.

#4. Duke

I couldn’t go any lower on the Blue Devils with the raw talent on this roster, but I refuse to fall into the trap that most will and pick Duke #1 or #2 in the country. Over the last 10 years, Duke hasn’t been a team that dominates in the regular season, and those problems have been accentuated as Coach K has continued to embrace the one-and-done. Duke is bringing in the top 3 players in the 2018 class, along with #9 Tre Jones, and while that talent is enticing, it’s natural to expect some regular season bumps with freshmen contributing virtually all the production. I expect the Blue Devils to hover in the #4-#8 range throughout the regular season, but will certainly be as dangerous as any in March.

#5. Gonzaga

Killian Tillie’s potential draft decision looms large here, but if he comes back, everyone except for Johnathan Williams & Silas Melson will be back for a Gonzaga team that went 32-5 this season. Add San Jose State transfer Brandon Clarke into the mix, and this team goes from really good to elite. I see Zach Norvell and Rui Hachimura making big strides after showing signs of brilliance this season, and Mark Few also brings in a top-70 player in the class of 2018 in stretch big man Filip Petrusev. Gonzaga will be a legitimate Final Four contender next season.

#6. Kentucky

For the purposes of this, I’ll assume that Kevin Knox and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander go pro and the rest of Kentucky’s core returns. If that happens, Kentucky could have a “veteran” group of sophomores already in place to compliment a very solid class that fills a lot of needs. Keldon Johnson is the headliner, a hard-playing wing who can do a little bit of everything. Immanuel Quickley will help solidify the point after Quade Green struggled as a lead guard this season, while Tyler Herro is a polished pure scorer who will make big contributions in the backcourt. I think the pieces fit a lot better with this potential roster than they did this season, when a lack of shooters seemed to plague the Wildcats all season.

#7. Nevada

If Caleb and Cody Martin, along with Jordan Caroline, return for Nevada (they are all expected to at at this point), this is a legit top 10 team. Lindsey Drew comes back from an achilles injury that cost him the end of the 2017-18 season, and the Wolf Pack add 4 transfers who combined to average more than 64 points per game at their previous homes. They address their biggest weakness (frontcourt depth) with UNO transfer Tre’Shawn Thurman and a pair of highly-regarded freshmen in Vincent Lee and KJ Hymes. This will be the deepest, most talented team Eric Musselman has had at Nevada, and look for him to do big things with it.

#8. Tennessee

Assuming no unexpected departures, this will basically be the same team as this season. Grant Williams will enter next season the frontrunner for SEC Player of the Year, and Admiral Schofield made big strides this season. Tennessee feels like they are one impact piece from being very real national title contenders. We’ll see if Rick Barnes can find that piece (perhaps via the grad transfer market) and continue the Vols’ ascension to the top of the college basketball world.

#9. Oregon

Even if Troy Brown elects to head pro, I love the potential of this Oregon team. They have a stud PG in Payton Pritchard, some high-upside returners like Kenny Wooten, Abu Kigab, and Victor Bailey, but perhaps most importantly, an outstanding recruiting class. Bol Bol is the NBA’s next unicorn, a 7-1 big capable of doing everything on the court. Louis King has limitless upside and can play multiple positions, and Will Richardson out of Oak Hill is an excellent guard who will see time right away. Putting all these pieces together may be a challenge, but having a returning core headlined by Pritchard is important in situations like these. The Ducks enter the season as my favorite in the Pac-12.

#10. Michigan

Even if Moe Wagner doesn’t return, I think Michigan will be one of the elite teams in college basketball. John Beilein brings in an excellent recruiting class headlined by Canadian combo forward Ignas Bradzeikis and East Lansing native Brandon Johns. Charles Matthews, Zavier Simpson, Jordan Poole, and Isaiah Livers are very likely to return, with Poole and Livers primed for breakout years. Beilein remains one of the coaches I trust most in college basketball to get the most out of his guys, so I don’t have as much concern as others might about the potential loss of Wagner.

#11. Michigan State

This will be a new-look Spartan team, losing stars in Miles Bridges and Jaren Jackson to the NBA. However, a strong core featuring Cassius Winston, Josh Langford, and Nick Ward should return. Combine that with Big Ten breakout candidate Xavier Tillman and a recruiting class with 5 4-star recruits, and there’s hardly reason for worry in East Lansing despite losing 2 guys who will likely be top 10 picks this June.

#12. Auburn

After overachieving significantly before falling flat on their face come March, Auburn is an interesting team to place in this top 25. The Tigers bring virtually everyone back and add 3 high-level talents in Danjel Purifoy, Austin Wiley, and Samir Doughty to the rotation. Anfernee McLemore, perhaps the team’s most important player this season, should be back healthy after missing the end of the season with a gruesome leg injury. That said, this team had great chemistry and played with a massive chip on their shoulder after Purifoy and Wiley were suspended for the season thanks to the FBI investigation. Where you place Auburn in this 25 shows whether you believe that momentum can continue with a massive talent injection, or if we could see some subtraction by addition. Make no mistake, the Tigers have National title-level talent.

#13. North Carolina

As of now, I’m not sure what to make of the Tar Heels in 2018-19. Luke Maye, Cameron Johnson, and Kenny Williams all return for Roy Williams, but the team’s 2 primary offense creators graduate in Joel Berry and Theo Pinson. Coby White and Nassir Little make up the best recruiting class the Tar Heels have had in quite some time, but they’ll have big shoes to keep one of the nation’s best offenses running smooth.

#14. West Virginia

The senior backcourt of Jevon Carter and Daxter Miles graduates, but West Virginia brings back a strong core from what was a top 25 team all season long. Sagaba Konate drew headlines for his highlight-reel blocks, and with another year of offensive development has a chance to be one of the elite players in college basketball. Teddy Allen showed flashes of brilliance as a freshman and should be one of the breakout performers in the Big 12. My concern with this team is how their identity changes without Carter. Bob Huggins’ defense was great before and it will be great again, but Carter was a leader on the floor whose toughness and energy rubbed off on his teammates. Losing a team’s emotional leader is always underrated.

#15. Kansas State

Another team that brings virtually everyone back, Kansas State is one of the safer teams to project coming into this season. At worst, they are a clear NCAA Tournament team that can’t quite crack the top 25. At best, they could be a top 10 team. The Wildcats are deep in the backcourt, have on of the most versatile forwards in the country in Dean Wade, and are coming off an Elite Eight run that gave them a taste of March glory. I’d love to see this team add one more quality piece to the frontcourt for next season.

#16. LSU

The talent Will Wade is bringing in with his first full recruiting class at LSU is nothing short of remarkable. 3 top-30 recruits headline the nation’s #4 recruiting class. Add that to SEC Player of the Year candidate Tremont Waters and some other key cogs returning in the backcourt, and you get a really talented, versatile roster that can hurt you in a lot of different ways. Naz Reid’s ability to distribute and stretch the floor as a big man will be extremely valuable, and Emmitt Williams gives this team a big-time athleticism boost that can guard multiple positions. If everything comes together as hoped, there’s no doubt in my mind that the Tigers are SEC title contenders.

#17. NC State

Losing Omer Yurtseven is a big blow for Kevin Keatts and company, but this NC State team gets a massive talent injection after a surprise NCAA Tournament season this year. CJ Bryce and De’Von Daniels come in on the wing as sit-out transfers, both guys who can really shoot the ball and create off the bounce. A backcourt featuring those 2 guys along with Torin Dorn, Braxton Beverly, and Markelle Johnson will give opposing coaches nightmares all season long. Add in some of the length Keatts wants to play his up-tempo style in 4 4-star recruits over 6-6, and NCSU will have the depth and talent to thrive in that system.

#18. Maryland

I’m a believer in Maryland this season despite a disappointing 2017-18 campaign. The star backcourt of Anthony Cowan and Kevin Huerter comes back, along with high-upside big Bruno Fernando and physical wing Darryl Morsell. Then comes the recruits, headlined by 5-star big man Jalen Smith and a pair of top-100 guards that will take some of the load off Huerter and Cowan. Mark Turgeon enters this season feeling some heat, but I expect a big bounce back year from the Terps.

#19. Virginia Tech

Everyone except for Justin Bibbs is back for the Hokies, including 3 double-digit scorers in the backcourt. Look for Nickeil Alexander-Walker to continue his development after an excellent freshman season, and VT should get Ty Outlaw back after he missed this season with an injury. Basically, Virginia Tech brings back every significant piece from this year’s team and gets significantly deeper in the frontcourt. Watch out.

#20. Purdue

There will without a doubt be apprehension about putting the Boilermakers in the top 25 with what they lose from this team, but Carsen Edwards is back and likely to be a preseason all-American to lead the way. I’m excited to see how Matt Haarms expands his game on the offensive end after a solid freshman campaign, and Nojel Eastern is a high-upside piece if he can improve as a shooter. Plus, Matt Painter already swooped in for a big grad transfer in Evan Boudreaux, a 6-10 Big who was a double-double machine at Dartmouth.

#21. Washington

A season that exceeded expectations ended on a sour note in year 1 of the Mike Hopkins era in Seattle, but it certainly gave Huskies fans reason for optimism for the future. UW’s top 7 scorers will be back, including freshman sensation Jaylen Nowell. Add in a strong class and the potential improvement that rising sophomores Nahziah Carter and Hameir Wright could show, and this roster looks very dangerous in 2018-19.

#22. Mississippi State

If no one leaves unexpectedly for the NBA Draft, this team has a chance to be the best in Starkville since the Rick Stansbury era. One of the most talented backcourt in the country will now be complimented with excellent big men, as 5 star Reggie Perry joins a group that already featured Abdul Ado and Aric Holman. Top to bottom, this roster is loaded with talent and anything less than an NCAA Tournament bid would be a disappointment.

#23. Stanford

I’m likely in the minority with Stanford in the top 25, but I’m a if believer in the Cardinal this season. Dorian Pickens and Michael Humphrey depart, but Jerod Haase brings in another terrific class to compliment returning stars Reid Travis, Daejon Davis, and Kezie Okpala. This team rally found its stride once Okpala returned to the lineup, and I’m excited to see a full season of this group together.

#24. Texas Tech

A lot of key pieces depart for Chris Beard, but the freshman duo of Jarrett Culver and Zhaire Smith should be back to anchor this Texas Tech roster. That’s good news for Red Raider fans, as that pairing has almost limitless upside. Add in Khavon Moore, an athletic combo forward, and Beard will once again have the athletes and length he loves. Beard has been active in grad transfer recruiting as well, so look for the Red Raiders to add 1-2 more pieces through that.

#25. Loyola-Chicago

This isn’t just throwing a bone to the little guy coming off a deep run. Loyola has legit talent once again, bringing back arguably their 3 best players from this season’s Final Four team. Add in the x-factor in New Mexico transfer Aher Uguak, a high-upside combo forward who has drawn rave reviews during his redshirt year, and this team has a chance to be really good once again. Porter Moser is building something special at Loyola.